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10/26/2017 Dolphins Pregame

On a short week the oft battered Ravens will host the Miami Dolphins on Thursday Night. Miami comes in having won three straight games and most recently beating the Jets in a comeback win on the arm of their second string quarterback – Matt Moore. The Dolphins also beat the Falcons in Atlanta which has to be one of their signature wins this season.  You have to wonder if the NFL is disappointed with this Thursday Night’s line up as it features the two worst offenses in the league in what should be titled, “The Battle of the Inept”.  The Dolphins have a good defense and they have been good against the run which is why they have a 4 and 2 record.  The Ravens on the other hand have the worst run defense in the NFL which is partly why they have lost 4 of their last of 5 games.

The return of Brandon Williams was supposed to be the key to bringing back a stout run defense, but that didn’t happen this past Sunday. The inability to stop the run is killing the Ravens this season and is keeping the defense on the field way too much. Our linebackers are not making contact with running backs until they are 3 to 4 yards beyond the line of scrimmage.  Until the Ravens can prove that they can stop the run – teams are going to run 30 plus times a game and control the tempo of the games.  While the Ravens secondary is playing pretty well they are too susceptible to giving up 3rd down conversions on long yardage situations, and often the opposing quarterbacks are targeting Webb.  It may not happen immediately, but I would not be surprised if you saw Jaylen Hill take over for Webb in the slot before this season is over.

Picking Thursday’s game is a challenge because neither team has a potent offense.  That said, Miami does have a very good running back in Ajayi and a solid receiver in Landry both of which are superior to any talent on the Ravens.  The Dolphins also boast a good run defense which will likely keep the Ravens running game in check. Since the Ravens passing game is still struggling to find any momentum it is hard to imagine that we will score more than 16 points. Vegas has the Ravens by 3 points (Odds makers usually give home team 3 points) which means this is basically a “pick em” game.  In a close game I like the Dolphins in this one because they can control the line of scrimmage.  In this up and down year of mediocre football you can never be certain of the outcomes – so let’s hope that I got this wrong.  Enjoy the game and stay thirsty my friends.

Miami Dolphins hosted by the Baltimore Ravens – Thursday, October 26th @ 8:25 PM Odds – Ravens by 3

Game Predictions
Score Ravens 16 Dolphins 17
Turnovers Even
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 80 Dolphins 101
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 171 Dolphins 181

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • Thursday Night Football records its lowest TV ratings since starting in 2006
  • Ndamukong Suh & Cameron Wake dominate Ravens O line recording 3 sacks
  • Justin Tucker hits two 50+ yard field goals
  • Refs make terrible calls

Possible Friday Monday morning headlines

  • Flacco battered and bruised in loss to Fins
  • Sputtering offense comes up short in third straight loss

Keys to the Game

  • Establish the passing game to open up the running attack
  • Pressure Moore and create some mistakes
  • Don’t give up any big plays

One comment

  1. Patrick G says:

    I hope Raven’s defense brings it’s tuna nets.

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