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Category: The 2016-2017 Season

September 12, 2016 – Bills – Recap

The Ravens win the home opener and get the job done in a game that only produced a total of 20 points.  The Bills came ready to play today and they brought their nasty style of defense to M&T but the  Ravens were up to the challenge.  The Ravens defense held last year’s number 4 offense to just 160 total yards of offense albeit this team is managed by Rex.  It is true that the Ravens have some things to work on to improve but you have to be pleased with the team effort especially when there were so many that had to knock off the rust from being out so long.  It was great seeing Flacco, Forsett, Smith, Pitta and Suggs all playing again and looking healthy.  Ravens passed their first test, now we will see how they do when they go on the road.  Other thoughts on the game are below.

 

  • If I was giving game balls I would have given it to Shareece Wright.  He was all over the field and made some spectacular tackles (11) of which 3 were for losses.  He also made two of the tackles on the Bill’s first possession which set the tone for the day.  For a guy who was played underwhelming in the preseason – he looked all world against the Bills.
  • The Ravens O line did a subpar job protecting Joe (sacked 4 times) and the Bills were often able to get pressure with just 4 .  Add to that the O line committed 3 of the 6 penalties.  Zutah especially looked bad today (bad snap) and was having a lot of trouble handling pressure up the middle.  Yanda committed two of the penalties which was a surprise.
  • Ravens defense recorded 2 sacks but watching the game it felt to me that Tyrod had plenty of time to throw on most plays.  We really need Dumervil to return soon and I would expect Judon to get more snaps in the coming week.  I like Jernigan and Williams in the middle but in my opinion they don’t really generate that much pass pressure.
  • The play calling today left me wanting more, and I will never understand why the Ravens on 3rd and short do not throw passes past the chains. It makes no sense to me and they did twice in this game and once on 4th If I am missing something here please enlighten me.
  • Now that we have 3 burners on this team, I would like to see more wide out sets that push corner coverage and safeties out to the sidelines to open up the middle of the field.  Too often our receiver packages are bunched to the strong side.
  • The defense played fast today and there was quick pursuit to the ball.  I was really happy to see them contain the running game which they had not done all that well during the preseason.
  • Perriman’s catch down field was impressive and if he can make those kinds of acrobatic catches throughout the season he will be a nice addition.
  • The Ravens did a nice job of getting into 3rd and short situations but unfortunately still only converted 6 out of 16.  This needs to get better as the offense gets more in sync.
  • Flacco’s pass to Wallace was a thing of beauty and the fact that Mike was able to take to the house was a clear message to the league that Mike is back.
  • Ravens didn’t generate a turnover yesterday which fortunately didn’t affect the outcome, but they will need them to beat the better teams in the league.
  • Tucker and Koch did a good job with their kicking duties, but the rest of the special teams were mediocre at best.  Hester looked like he still has some cob webs on his returns but at least he did not cough up the ball.  Tavon Young had one punt where he could have laid the lumber on the returner but whiffed because he was staring at the sky looking for the ball.
  • Trestman’s play calling and game plan was too heavy on the pass game in the second half and I thought they could have run the ball more.
  • How cool was it when Pitta made his first catch of the game to hear the fans go crazy cheering.
  • As far as I could tell there were not any injuries for the Ravens yesterday which was nice to see.

 

 

Game Predictions Game Statistics
Score Ravens 23 Bills 17 Ravens 13 Bills 7
Turnovers Plus 1 Minus 1
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 99 Bills 108 Ravens 83 Bills 65
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 269 Bills 201 Ravens 225 Bills 95

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • Judon gets his first sack of his NFL career No sack, but he did come close and also registered a QB hit
  • Bills receive 8 penalties for 70 yards Close, it was 8 penalties for 89 yards
  • Aiken leads all receivers with 7 receptions No, only 2 catches as Flacco used 10 different receivers
  • Refs make terrible calls They missed a key hold on 4th down and gave some poor ball spots

 

Possible Monday morning headlines in the Sun Papers

  • Joe Cool looks solid in home opener
  • Ravens win, but injury bug plagues them again

 

Keys to the Game

  • The offensive line needs to set the tone and establish running lanes They did an ok job for their first outing and especially given that 2 new players on the lefty side
  • Get pressure on Tyrod and keep him contained They kept Tyrod from getting big runs and made move out of the pocket
  • Play penalty free 6 penalties for 35 yards which is ok, but I like that they had no PF calls against them
  • Win the turnover battle Nope, we didn’t generate any and ended the day minus one

 

 

 

December 28, 2016 – Bengals – Pregame

Coming off the heart breaking loss to the Steelers, the Ravens head to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals who currently have a 4 game (at  home) winning streak against them.  The last time the Ravens beat Andy Dalton in Paul Brown Stadium was January 1st, 2012.  As we wrap up the 2016 season neither team has anything on the line – except for team pride – that said I think this game will deliver a typical Bengals / Ravens hard fought contest.  Some reports indicate that AJ Green will miss the game which would make sense since he is dealing with a hamstring tear and could further injure himself in a non-critical game.  Dalton plays well against the Ravens and with Smith out he should be able to get his share of passing yards even without Green.  One could argue that you should lose so you can get a better draft position, but I don’t think the Ravens nor the Bengals will take that position.  Ravens finishing 9 and 7 would be a significant improvement from last year and would build some momentum for the future.  Flacco is playing better the last few weeks and the running game is looking solid so I am expecting the Ravens to win Sunday and sweep the series with the Bengals.  This could be Steve Smith’s last game so it will be interesting to see how he plays in this season finale.  The Ravens defense should be motivated this week and hopefully they will find a way to contain the Bengals play makers.  This game is likely to be another close one but with no big stakes on the line your finger nails should be safe.  Enjoy the game and stay thirsty my friends.

 

Cincinnati Bengals hosting the  Baltimore Ravens –  Sunday Afternoon – January 1st  @ 1:00 PM       Odds –  Bengals by 2 ½

 

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Game Predictions
Score Ravens 23 Bengals 20
Turnovers Plus 1
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 92 Bengals 107
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 255 Bengals 254

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • Flacco goes 25 of 38 with 2 TDs and 1 interception
  • Burfict plays dirty and gets called for a PF
  • On a Jets sweep Campanaro gains 22 yards
  • Refs make terrible calls

 

Possible Monday morning headlines in the Sun Papers

  • Ravens win in Paul Brown Stadium, Finally!!!
  • Smith finishes with a bang!

 

Keys to the Game

  • Contain Bengals receivers LaFell, Boyed and Eifert
  • Play balanced on offense with 25+ runs
  • Convert on 3rd down and move the chains – eat the clock

 

 

 

 

December 21, 2016 – Steelers – Pregame

Wishing you all  a very Merry Christmas and a Happy New year. This Sunday the Ravens go behind the Steel Curtain to play a game that will likely determine who will win the AFC North.  While I don’t like how the Ravens have played, you do have to be impressed that with two games left they are in control of destiny.  And no matter what happens over the next two weeks at least this season will not be a losing season.  The Steelers will all but guarantee an AFC Championship if they beat the Ravens as their final game is at home game against the hapless BrownsSteelers are playing very well of late and have won 5 straight games, 4 of which were on the road.  Big Ben is healthy, the running game is on fire and Antonio Brown – well he is Antonio Brown.   The Ravens on the other hand are in some level of turmoil.  Recent reports suggest that the club house is full of discontent and some receivers in particular are getting frustrated with the dink and dunk style of play that offense has been showing.  For two straight games the defensive line has been outplayed something this team is not accustomed to.  Playing the Steelers typically brings out the best effort from the Ravens team and I would expect that they will leave it all out on the field Sunday.  The Ravens offense does not travel well and the Steelers have done a good job of containing our running game.  The poor offensive play calling along with Flacco’s down year makes this a tough game for the Ravens. The Ravens are going to have challenges putting up points but I don’t think that the Steelers will.  They have the better skill position players on offense and I think the Ravens defense is playing tired this December. The Ravens coaching staff will have their hands full getting the team ready for this contest – let’s hope they can game plan better than they did against the Eagles.  It has been over two years since the Steelers have won against the Ravens – but the Ravens are struggling right now and I expect the Steelers to have this one in hand by the start of the 4th quarter and they should cover.  Enjoy the game and stay thirsty my friends.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers hosting the Baltimore Ravens –  Sunday – December 25th @ 4:30 PM       Odds –  Steelers by 5

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Game Predictions
Score Ravens 17 Steelers 30
Turnovers Minus 2
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 64 Steelers 161
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 241 Steelers 281

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • Tucker has his first “real” miss of the season
  • Ravens commit 3 personal foul penalties
  • Le’Veon Bell carries the rock 26 times for 135 yards
  • Refs make terrible calls

 

Possible Monday morning headlines in the Sun Papers

  • Steelers clinch AFC North Championship
  • No Christmas miracle for the Ravens

 

Keys to the Game

  • Contain Steelers Bell and Brown and avoid giving up big plays
  • Win the turnover battle
  • Establish the run game (25+ carries) and set up the play action
  • Play clean football and avoid untimely penalties

 

 

September 15, 2016 – Browns – Pregame

The Ravens will go into the Dawg Pound to face one of their intra-division rivals hoping to go 2 and 0.  The Browns now under the leadership of Hue Jackson will get better, but that is not going to happen overnight.  The truth is the Browns are still a work in progress and they have some ground to make up to be competitive in the AFC North.  Sunday’s game is the Browns home opener so you can expect to get their very best as they play for the home crowd. The Browns don’t fear the Ravens, you can’t when you play them twice a year.  Their starting QB RGIII went out on IR this week so we will get the backup Josh McCown.  Typically this would be good news, but not so much for the Ravens as last October McCown beat the Ravens and racked up 457 passing yards and threw for 2 TDs.  You have to believe that the Ravens secondary is better today than it was last October.

 

We did learn some things about the Ravens from Sunday’s game – they are faster defensively, better receivers, Flacco is ok, and the two new kids on the left side are up to the challenge.  That said, there are still questions to be answered as they progress through their schedule such as – just how good is this defense? Can Suggs still bring the sizzle? Can the running game do better than 3.3 yards per carry?  Will turnovers start coming our way? Will the protection hold up? While admittedly some of the players still need to shake off the rust from being out and some of the new faces need to learn the system, this team appears to be better than it was a year ago.  To compete down the stretch the Ravens need to win these games against inferior teams, if not they will be watching the playoffs from home in January.  Rest assured we will get Cleveland’s A game Sunday, Hue Jackson will make sure of that, and I am anticipating the game to be very physical and demanding.  The Ravens understand what is at stake here and they will take care of business in Cleveland and for the second straight week the Ravens will cover.  Enjoy the game and stay thirsty my friends.

 

Cleveland Browns hosting the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, September 18th  1:00 PM     Odds – Ravens by 7  

 

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Game Predictions
Score Ravens 24 Browns 16
Turnovers Plus 1
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 117 Browns 89
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 274 Browns 185

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • Ravens TEs combine for 10 receptions and 116 yards
  • Webb gets a pick
  • Hester takes one to the house
  • Refs make terrible calls

 

Possible Tuesday morning headlines in the Sun Papers

  • Flacco sharp in first divisional game
  • Brown’s frown as McCown goes down

 

Keys to the Game

  • Win the turnover battle
  • Protect Joe and keep him upright
  • Pressure McCown and keep him off balance
  • Minimize the carnage from Barnidge

September 22, 2016 – Jaguars – Pregame

The Ravens head to Jacksonville this Sunday to take on the O – 2 Jags, a team that is struggling to find their way.  The good news is the Ravens are 2-0 against winless teams J, the bad news is the last time the Ravens won in Jacksonville – Justin Tucker was 12 years old – so you might say we are overdue for a win.  The Jags coming off two losses are desperate to come back strong at home so you can be certain that they will come out with guns blazing.  The Ravens are absolutely going to go up against a highly motivated group of football players.  The Jags played the Packers tough at home and lost in a close contest.  They have plenty of talent on this team and their passing game has gotten off to a great start averaging 325 yards per game.  Bortles and his young receivers are going to present some challenges for the Ravens secondary, and to the extent that they can contain this group will likely determine the outcome of this game. The Ravens are still trying to figure out who they are, but I think we are seeing some promising signs.  The Ravens passing game is coming along and should continue to improve as Joe gets comfortable with some of his new targets.  The play calling and the running game need a lot of work and perhaps this week we will see some improvement.  I would like to see an average yard per carry of at least 3.5 yards, and if they do get to that number I suspect it will mostly come on the legs of West.  Let’s hope the Refs do better Sunday, as you may recall last year’s game against the Jags the officiating crew absolutely blew the last play of the game which cost the Ravens a victory.  This should be a close contest and while the Jags have given up a lot of points in their first two games I don’t expect the Ravens to rack up a big score – they almost never do on the road.  If the Ravens win the turnover battle they will squeak this one out, and if they don’t they will suffer their first loss.  Ravens play error free football, avoid costly penalties then they will win this game.  The odds makers have this game even. Enjoy the game and stay thirsty my friends.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars hosting the Baltimore Ravens  –  Sunday, September 25th @ 1:00 PM         Odds – Even

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Game Predictions
Score Ravens 23 Jaguars 22
Turnovers Plus 1
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 91 Jaguars 91
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 274 Jaguars 288

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • Bortles throws for 31 of 47 for 293 yards
  • Struggling Forsett carries for 10 or less times
  • Mike Wallace gets an end around
  • Refs make terrible calls

 

Possible Monday morning headlines

  • Another Ugly Win for the Ravens
  • Special teams save the day again!

 

Keys to the Game

  • Play tough D in the red zone and force FGs
  • Get pressure on Bortles and get some lumber on him
  • Protect the rock

 

 

 

 

 

September 25, 2016 – Jaguars – Recap

The Ravens win in Jacksonville for the first time in a very long time and do it in a style that we have grown accustomed – Ugly.  Ugly wins used to bother me but I honestly don’t care anymore as long as they win.  Winning on the road is hard in the NFL, just ask the Steelers, so anytime you can go into foreign territory and win you have to be pleased.  The Jags played tough today and gave the Ravens a hand full, but good teams win the ones they should and in that respect the Ravens took care of business today.  This game was a nail biter with the Jags having a chance to extend their lead to 4 points with just a few minutes left in the game but Brent Urban’s blocked field goal changed all that  – and also gave the Ravens good field position to begin their final drive.  Other thoughts on the game are below:

 

  • Flacco had a good stretches and bad stretches in this game, but bottom line he got the job done today.  His two interceptions were costly but were due more to poor protection and a cross up with the receiver.  There were pass plays where he was not in sync with the receiver which is not too surprising given that most of these guys have only played together since the season started.  Flacco’s scamper for their first TD was great to see and shows that he can still move when he needs to. One area that was weak today and needs to improve is their 3rd down efficiency which was 3 of 13 – that is awful.
  • The Ravens O line had a tough day and several of their penalties put the Ravens into long down and distances.  Stanley had his hands full today on the left side and Zuttah got blown up on a play that created a bit hit on Flacco.  If Herschel ever gets healthy you have to wonder if they will move him to center.
  • CJ’s interception is one of the most athletic catches I have ever seen from a linebacker. Great to see him get INTs in back to back weeks.
  • Justin Forsett looks awful and if his play doesn’t improve I can see him spending more time on the pine.  Here is what I see from him – goes down on first contact, no speed, no juking ability, and slow on picking his gaps. He will be expendable when Dixon returns.
  • The Jags really hurt themselves with stupid penalties today one of which gave the Ravens 3 points at the end of the half.
  • The Ravens D is looking pretty stout early into the season and it will be interesting to see how they fair against the better teams. The Ravens held the Jags to 216 total yards and 2.3 ypc.
  • Jernigan had another sack today which gives him one in each of the first 3 games.  It was great seeing Suggs get a few sacks today and hopefully the rush will get stronger when Dumervil returns.
  • Shareece Wright is being targeted week over week now and it is clear that he is at best an average CB. He gave up both touch downs today and several first downs.  The Ravens are going to have to coach him up or give him more back support from the safety position.
  • The Jags inside linebacker Paul Posluszny single handedly mauled at least 3 Ravens with bone crunching tackles.
  • Special Teams had an up and day.  At least 3 penalties committed on kick offs, gave up a huge return and then Hester coughs up the ball on one of the punts. If it had ended there it would have been terrible, but Tucker kicking flawlessly and Urban blocking the field goal made it a salvageable day.
  • I thought the Ravens linebackers played fast to the ball today, but one weakness that I am seeing is that their coverage on mid depth crossing routs are giving up to many yards to their opponents.
  • Weddle is making some plays in the secondary and is helping bring more consistency to this group. I love this guy!
  • Ravens receivers had some more drops today and Perriman had another one as well.  I will give him a pass because he is still young but I do hope that he improves in this area as the season progresses.
  • Ravens did in fact average 3.8 ypc which is an improvement but they still have too many runs of little to no yardage.

 

Game Predictions Game Statistics
Score Ravens 23 Jaguars 22 Ravens 19 Jaguars 17
Turnovers Plus 1 Even
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 91 Jaguars 91 Ravens 84 Jaguars 48
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 274 Jaguars 288 Ravens 199 Jaguars 168

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • Bortles throws for 31 of 47 for 293 yards Nope, 24 of 38 for 194 yards
  • Struggling Forsett carries for 10 or less times Correct, 7 carries for just 20 yards
  • Mike Wallace gets an end around Correct, for a 5 yard gain
  • Refs make terrible calls Missed about dozen fairly flagrant holds

 

Possible Monday morning headlines

Another Ugly Win for the Ravens                          I must admit that I nailed both of them

Special teams save the day again!

 

Keys to the Game

  • Play tough D in the red zone and force FGs Nope, Jags were 2 for 2
  • Get pressure on Bortles and get some lumber on him Nope, Ravens didn’t really get to him until 4th quarter
  • Protect the rock Nope, one fumble and 2 picks albeit the Jags were no better

 

 

 

 

September 29, 2016 – Raiders – Pregame

The Ravens host the high flying Oakland Raiders to Charm City this Sunday.  Through the first 3 games the Raiders boasts the 2nd best offense in the league racking up 436 yards per game (ypg).  Derek Carr is having a great year and his offensive line is keeping him upright rendering just two sacks through 3 games.  This will be the first tough test for the Ravens defense which is ranked second in the league giving up just 254 ypg.  Something will have to give on Sunday – so we will see just how good this Ravens defense is.  Additionally, the Raiders have a very strong run game averaging 148 ypg and it will be interesting to see what they do against the Ravens front seven.  On defense the Raiders are ranked dead last in ypg and their secondary is as well.  The Ravens should be able to move the ball against the Raiders and if the Ravens can get TDs instead of FGs they should win this one without too much drama.  While there are some areas that the Ravens need to improve there are a few trends I like so far this season which include 1) playing good defense in the 4th quarter (especially the pass rush) and getting those important 3rd down stops something they couldn’t do last year, 2) while they have been unable to run the ball effectively they have been able to run the ball better in the 4th quarter to help burn some clock and 3) Tucker looks locked in with the 50+ attempts.  My wish list for this week is to see the Ravens show improvement in their running game, more consistent pass rush, and an increase in 3rd down conversions. We will know a lot more about this team and how good they are by Sunday afternoon.  Ravens love home games and this is clearly one that they should win if they play their game.  I expect the Ravens to play solid in all three phases of the game and if they do they will cover the spread and go 4 – 0.  Enjoy the game and stay thirsty my friends.

 

Oakland Raiders hosted by the Baltimore Ravens – Sunday – October 2nd @ 1:00 PM       Odds – Ravens  by 3 ½  

 

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Game Predictions
Score Ravens 29 Raiders 23
Turnovers Plus 1
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 88 Raiders 103
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 297 Raiders 244

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • 3 different Ravens players get TDs
  • West breaks one for 20+ yards
  • Zach Orr leads the D with 8 tackles
  • Refs make terrible calls

 

Possible Monday morning headlines in the Sun Papers

  • Ravens go 4 and 0 to stay atop of the AFC North
  • Carr runs into a Ravens road block

 

Keys to the Game

  • Win the turn over battle
  • Contain Cooper and Crabtree to under 140 yards
  • Move the chains and dominate time of possession

 

October 9, 2016 – Redskins – Pregame

Ravens take on the Washington Redskins in the battle of the beltways this Sunday.  The Ravens last faced the Redskins on December 9th 2012 losing to them in overtime – when the Skins back up QB Kirk Cousins replaced the injured RGIII late in the game and threw a TD pass to Garcon with seconds left on the clock.   Now we face Cousins as the starter and through 4 games the Redskins have the 8th best offense in the league.  The talking heads usually agree that 4 games into the season you are seeing enough of a sample size to determine the talent of a team.  If that is true, then the Ravens defense is for real and appears to be on course for another top ten finish.  When measured by yards allowed, the Ravens are the number one defense in the NFL giving up a stingy 256 yards per game and appear to be heading into another tough test facing the Redskins who have proven they can move the ball.  If the Ravens had a consistent pass rush I believe they would be a stifling defense, but so far that has not materialized.  They also need to play better in the red zone – on both sides of the ball. What should we expect Sunday?  Ravens don’t usually lose home games and they almost never lose two in a row at home.  Given the sour taste in their mouth from Sunday, and with fingers crossed that Lewis and Stanley return to the field I think the Ravens beat the Redskins.  Assuming that Dixon is activated Sunday I think we could see the Ravens run 30+ times for the first time this season.  It is time for the Ravens offense to play better.  Playing at home against a poor defensive team is a perfect time to show what you can do, so I expect the Ravens to open up their game plan and stretch the field.  Sunday should be the first time the Ravens crack 30 points.  Ravens defense will have their hands full containing their receivers but should keep them in check enough to come away with the victory.  Ravens get some key guys back this week which will equate to better production – Ravens win and they will cover.  Enjoy the game and stay thirsty my friends.

 

Special Note:  Ravens say good bye to Justin Forsett this week.  Great person and a great teammate and I wish him all the best as he shops his services to other teams.

 

Washington Redskins hosted by the Baltimore Ravens – Sunday – October 9th @ 1:00 PM    Odds –  Ravens by 3 ½

 

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Game Predictions
Score Ravens 30 Redskins 24
Turnovers Plus 1
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 122 Redskins 69
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 268 Redskins 227

 

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • Flacco throws long (25+ yard) 3 or more times
  • Jimmy Smith gets a pick
  • Dumervil gets his first sack of the season
  • Refs make terrible calls

 

Possible Monday morning headlines in the Sun Papers

  • Ravens offense comes alive
  • Gruden Kirk’s out in loss to Ravens

 

Keys to the Game

  • Play clean – no turnovers and minimize penalties
  • Pressure Cousins and get him off the spot
  • Dominate the line of scrimmage

 

October 13, 2016 – Giants – Pregame

Week 6 takes the wounded Ravens to the Meadowlands to face Eli Manning and the New York GiantsRavens will go into this game with a new offensive coordinator as they promote their QBs coach Marty Mornhineg to replace the packing Marc Trestman.  While I agree with the move – I don’t think anyone should think that this will magically fix all the problems with the offense.  This move does nothing to improve the performance of the O line, or lessen the dropped passes from receivers.  You have to wonder if Perriman makes those two catches if we are even talking about this today.  While I fully expect the pass/run ratios to get more in line with a balanced offense, I still think they will continue to struggle on the offensive side of the ball.  A productive offense begins with a sound O line which the Ravens do not have at this point in the season.  Injuries along with some poor play have plagued this group and no amount of game planning will overcome that glaring weakness.  Through 5 games the Ravens are averaging just 18.8 points a game, and that is against some of the weakest defensive teams in the league.  Add to that poor special teams performance and you do not have a winning formula, especially on the road.  Through 5 games the Giants are dead last in the league with 4 sacks.  So if they get two or three sacks against the Ravens on Sunday you will get a pretty clear indication just how bad the O line is this year.  The Ravens defense will have to contain Eli who has some great receivers and given the lack of pass rush I would expect Eli to have a productive day throwing.  Going on the road will stymie an already lackluster Ravens offense and the Giants should be able to get enough points to pull this one out and will cover. Enjoy the game and stay thirsty my friends.

 

New York Giants hosting the Baltimore Ravens –  October 16th @ 1:00 PM       Odds –  Giants by 2 ½

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Game Predictions
Score Ravens 16 Giants 20
Turnovers Minus 1
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 119 Giants 61
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 224 Giants 248

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • No trick plays/No fake anything
  • Ravens run 30+ times
  • Ravens commit 9 penalties for 94 yards
  • Refs make terrible calls

 

Possible Monday morning headlines in the Sun Papers

  • Ravens get stuck in the Meadowlands
  • Ravens woes continue

 

Keys to the Game

  • Contain Beckham, Shepard & Cruz <200
  • Keep Flacco upright
  • Create turn overs – lots of them!

 

October 20, 2016 – Jets – Pregame

Ravens return to MetLife Stadium for a second week in a row to take on the 1 and 5 NY Jets.  Make no mistake – the Jets are an awful team and there are good reasons they have lost 4 in a row.  The Jets have difficulty scoring and are dead last in the league at 15.8 points per game.  On the defensive side of the ball the Jets are 25th in the league albeit they do a decent job controlling the run.  The Ravens are the more talented team but a flurry of injuries to our key players on both sides of the ball make this one tough to figure. There are three stats that I believe are killing the Ravens success this year.  First, they lead the league in penalties with 52 and often these penalties negate big offensive plays, and second, they are 27th in the league in 3rd down conversions at a pathetic 34%, and 3rd, they reach the end zone just 13.5% percent of their drives – when the league average is 21.5%.  Improving in these categories alone would make them a dramatically better team.  You can’t sustain offensive drives when you are frequently playing 1st and 20.   Given the difficulty of the Ravens schedule after the bye week you can make a case that Sunday is a must win game – quite frankly because it is a winnable game for them given their current state of affairs.  A fourth loss would also start to work against the Ravens psyche and likely some of them would lose heart and their play would diminish.  Both the Jets and Ravens are desperate teams and we will see which team plays with more desperation on Sunday.  One thing is for certain – and you can bet the house that the Jets defense is going to blitz all day long to get to Flacco – and if Marty is not ready for this it could be another frustrating day for the Ravens offense.  Sitting here Thursday morning we still don’t know who will be active Sunday which will have a huge impact on the outcome of the game. If the Ravens get back even some of these key players this week I think they win this one, and the margin of victory is less than 4 points.  Vegas has this as a “Pick Em” game.  Enjoy the game and stay thirsty my friends.

 

New York Jets hosting the Baltimore Ravens   Sunday – October 23rd @ 1:00 PM         Odds – Even

 

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Game Predictions
Score Ravens 23 Jets 20
Turnovers Plus 1
Net Rushing Yardage Ravens 92 Jets 71
Net Passing Yardage Ravens 289 Jets 232

 

Miscellaneous Predictions

  • Flacco is sacked 5 times and does not finish the game
  • Wallace leads all receivers with 6 receptions and 88 yds.
  • Jernigan gets a sack and a forced fumble
  • Refs make terrible calls

 

Possible Monday morning headlines in the Sun Papers

  • Ravens back on track
  • Ravens squeak out a win

 

Keys to the Game

  • TDs not FGs when in the red zone
  • Minimize mistakes – penalties and turnovers
  • Contain Marshall and Forte
  • Put pressure on Fitz – blitz if you have to

 

 

 

 

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